blogging ... about blogging

key takeaways from BBC.co.uk article on 10 technology predictions for 2007 by Gartner, including that the # of blogs will peak in 2007.

"A lot of people have been in and out of this thing. Everyone thinks they have something to say, until they're put on stage and asked to say it."

I dreaded and posted about this concept in my inagural blog post for grep le miette. it's still better than real world miami (perhaps the secret of blogging success is just to aim low).

* Gartner analysts said that during the middle of 2007, the number of blogs will level out at about 100 million.
* 200 million people have already stopped writing their blogs.
*Gartner analyst Daryl Plummer said the reason for the levelling off in blogging was due to the fact that most people who would ever start a web blog had already done so.
* He said those who loved blogging were committed to keeping it up, while others had become bored and moved on.
* Last month blog tracking firm Technorati reported that 100,000 new blogs were being created every day, and 1.3 million blog posts were written.
* Technorati is tracking more than 57 million blogs, of which it believes around 55% are "active" and updated at least every three months.

So according to Gartner, you only need to post once every 3 months to have an "active" blog.

How open is Web 2.0 for developer participation?

Bill Gates recently hosted a private meeting with influential bloggers up in Redmond, where he shared some of his thoughts on the future of Web services and Web apps.




In response to a question from Liz at GigaOM about which MS applications will run inside the browser versus outside,

“the distinction would come to be silly from a technical standpoint, but the necessary movement toward web APIs does present challenges on the business side. One of the things that’s actually held the industry back on this is, if you have an advertising business model, then you don’t want to expose your capabilities as a web service, because somebody would use that web service without plastering your ad up next to the thing.”

Food for thought, considering the revenue model for many Web 2.0/social media companies is advertising, yet relatively few have opened up their platform substantially for commercial purposes.

Posts from other bloggers who were deemed "“leaders in various aspects of the web community”:

• Jeremy Zawodny flickr photos
  
• Tantek Celik flickr photos
• Mike Arrington
• Steve Rubel
  
• Chris Pirillo